ISAR Spectrum maiden failure: spectacular but not surprising

by | Mar 31, 2025 | Launches, Reliability Info, Seradata News

The maiden flight of Spectrum ended in a spectacular explosion against the dramatic icy backdrop of Andøya Spaceport, Norway.

Footage of Spectrum’s fiery explosion punctuating the remote wilderness of Andøya was quickly picked up by news outlets internationally. This was unsurprising given that the stunning scenery conveyed a cinematic feel. Perched on the edge of Arctic Norway, Andøya Spaceport lies between a rugged mountain range with snowy peaks, and the icy expanse of the Norwegian Sea.

Visuals aside, however, the launch was not especially newsworthy in the context of maiden launches. As the Slingshot Seradata database data shows, the first (maiden) flights of new rockets have a failure rate of 45 per cent.

ISAR Spectrum rocket explodes on impact with the sea. Courtesy: ISAR/Nasaspaceflight

https://x.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1906340191083581704

Rocket specs

Spectrum is a two-stage launch vehicle operated and developed by Isar Aerospace, a German company, and measuring 28 metres.

The new-entrant small rocket is powered by LOX/Liquid Propane and designed to carry 1,000 kg to low Earth orbit (LEO) or 700 kg to a Sun-synchronous near polar one.

The rocket’s first stage is equipped with nine Aquila rocket engines. Its second (or upper) stage has a single Aquilla engine that is vacuum optimised.

 

The launch

After a series of delays due to high winds, Spectrum was ignited and lifted off at 1030 GMT on 30 March.

The launch initially seemed successful, until about 21 seconds in when the first stage seemed to exhibit gimballing over-control.

This carried on for a further ten seconds until the engine appeared to be extinguished. It was later confirmed that the automatic flight safety system shut the first-stage rocket engines off. With the upper stage still attached, Spectrum then pitched over and fell back forlornly to Earth – or rather into the sea. The rocket exploded spectacularly on impact.

The flight carried an instrumented upper stage measuring vibrations and acceleration loads that would be experienced by an actual payload, when one is eventually carried.

A full investigation is under way.

The significance for Europe

European nations have launched orbital rockets before – albeit from distant territories such as Kourou in French Guiana. However, they have long sought to have a launch site on European soil.

Spaceport Cornwall, a horizontal launch site in the UK, claimed the accolade for that in 2023 but its Virgin Orbit lift-off ultimately ended in failure. Hopes were high that Andøya spaceport’s first launch would be more successful. Sadly, it was not to be – although ISAR’s CEO and Co-founder Daniel Metzler has claimed the launch “met all our expectations” and was “a great success”. Metzler referred to the vehicle’s first stage ignition, lift off and 30 second flight. Video footage showing the rocket bursting into flames as it came falling back to Earth, instead of heading into orbit, makes the German firm’s declaration a tad unconvincing.

 

Early flight failure rates for new rockets since 2010 (Source: Slingshot Seradata Database)

Launch Vehicle Orb Maiden Launch Date 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th First Five flight failure rate (%)
Angara 1.2 23/12/2014 OK
Angara A5/Briz M 23/12/2014 OK OK
Antares 110 21/04/2013 OK OK
Ariane 6 (Ariane 62) 09/07/2024 FAIL OK
Astra Rocket 3.0 12/09/2020 FAIL FAIL
Chollima-1 30/04/2023 FAIL FAIL OK
Electron/Electron KS 25/05/2017 FAIL OK OK OK OK 20
Epsilon 14/09/2013 OK OK OK OK OK 0
Falcon 9 04/06/2010 OK OK OK FAIL OK 20
Firefly Alpha 03/09/2021 FAIL FAIL OK FAIL OK 60
Gravity-1 11/01/2024 OK
H3 07/03/2023 FAIL OK OK OK OK 20
Jielong-1 17/08/2019 OK
Jielong-3 09/12/2022 OK OK OK OK OK 0
KAIROS 13/03/2024 FAIL FAIL
KSLV II 21/10/2021 FAIL      OK FAIL
Launcher One 25/05/2020 FAIL OK OK OK OK 20
Long March 5 03/11/2016 OK FAIL
Long March 6 19/09/2015 OK OK OK OK OK 0
Long March 7 25/06/2016 OK OK OK OK OK 0
Long March 11 25/09/2015 OK OK OK OK OK 0
Long March 12 30/11/2024 OK
LVM 3 (GSLV 3) 05/06/2017 OK OK OK OK OK 0
New Glenn 16/01/2025 OK
Qaem 100 04/03/2023 FAIL OK OK
RS-1 (ABL) 10/01/2023 FAIL
Spark 1 04/11/2015 FAIL
Spectrum 30/01/2025 FAIL
SLS 16/11/2022 OK
SS-520 (Three Stage) 14/01/2017 FAIL FAIL
SSLV 07/08/2022 FAIL OK OK
Tianlong-2 02/04/2023 OK
Terran 1 23/03/2023 FAIL
TLV (Solid) 04/12/2023 OK
Vega 13/02/2012 OK OK OK OK OK 0
Vega-C 13/07/2022 OK FAIL OK
Vulcan-Centaur 08/01/2024 OK OK
Zhuque-1 27/10/2018 FAIL
Zhuque-2/-2E-Y1 14/12/2022 FAIL OK OK OK
Failure Rate 18/40 7/26 1/18 2/13 0/12 7/60
Failure Rate (%) 45.0 26.9 5.6 15.4 0.0 11.7

 

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